Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Oregon State Beavers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45e73336f25ed900adef28949a1bb15c2d050053e0538ae56cf7f96f9069197e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Massachusetts Minutemenof Massachusetts Minutemen, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 55c | 2,157$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oregon State Beavers | 45c | 1,803$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.56 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 46c | 1,749$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.13 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 51c | 1,713$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.14 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 30c | 1,651$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon State Beavers | 57c | 1,534$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Oregon State Beavers | 55c | 1,020$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 57c | 982.33$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38f…bba8backed Oregon State Beavers | 35c | 949$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 43c | 852.89$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.79 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 835.38$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.59 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 639.38$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Oregon State Beavers | 49c | 488.85$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Oregon State Beavers | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 29c | 310.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oregon State Beavers | 45c | 293.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Oregon State Beavers | 43c | 265.73$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 42c | 231$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 64c | 216.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Oregon State Beavers | 49c | 205.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Oregon State Beavers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 65c | 191$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Oregon State Beavers | 42c | 171.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…fa11backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Oregon State Beavers | 44c | 119.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5443…b73cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 42c | 106$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Oregon State Beavers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 40c | 93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 87.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Oregon State Beavers | 42c | 72.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Oregon State Beavers | 66c | 69.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Oregon State Beavers | 53c | 61.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Oregon State Beavers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Oregon State Beavers | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Oregon State Beavers | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…0ac4backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 37c | 48.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Oregon State Beavers | 57c | 46.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Oregon State Beavers | 62c | 45.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 61c | 42.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…4e3cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 58c | 37.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Oregon State Beavers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…9454backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 24.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Oregon State Beavers | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Oregon State Beaversthis page
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.