Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad42daa628f03430ae4f85296b093e4e45f28c3b97c18ebb3d37e8888fef957d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IU Indy Jaguarsof IU Indy Jaguars, Eastern Michigan Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 69c | 5,583$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 31c | 4,044$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 42c | 2,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 76c | 1,583$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.36 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed IU Indy Jaguars | 31c | 801$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 70c | 461.91$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 33c | 299.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed IU Indy Jaguars | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 33c | 35.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1f…b253backed IU Indy Jaguars | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…fd4ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a32…18fabacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…5c40backed IU Indy Jaguars | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…e473backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesthis page
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 185.5Under won
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 186.5Under won
- Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-4.5)IU Indy Jaguars won
- Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-5.5)IU Indy Jaguars won
- Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-6.5)IU Indy Jaguars won
- Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-7.5)IU Indy Jaguars won
- Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-8.5)IU Indy Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.