Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wagner Seahawks vs. Manhattan Jaspers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff93f37bdfcbbb17fdbf73ea026818eeb71007301e8769ef9acef0b1382a9a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wagner Seahawksof Wagner Seahawks, Manhattan Jaspers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wagner Seahawks | 17c | 5,956$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 79c | 1,898$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 78c | 1,331$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.69 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 26c | 1,276$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Manhattan Jaspers | 63c | 935.25$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.21 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Wagner Seahawks | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wagner Seahawks | 39c | 590$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.9 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4908backed Wagner Seahawks | 10c | 310.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +418.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wagner Seahawks | 37c | 267$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wagner Seahawks | 35c | 261.12$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 79c | 253.85$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Wagner Seahawks | 72c | 216.31$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 18cpaid | +108%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 63c | 201.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Wagner Seahawks | 9c | 187.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Wagner Seahawks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…2972backed Wagner Seahawks | 24c | 83.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Manhattan Jaspers | 68c | 63.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wagner Seahawks | 36c | 53.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wagner Seahawks | 38c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…3f6fbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 63c | 34.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…721ebacked Wagner Seahawks | 37c | 34.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Manhattan Jaspers | 67c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Manhattan Jaspers | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…f1b0backed Manhattan Jaspers | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Manhattan Jaspersthis page
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-3.5)Wagner Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.