Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14439e9bbf9f7930e2d7528d174bfa7cf3ad8b526ae23bbcb921fc3e0415a7f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Longhornsof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Texas Longhorns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 108,490$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Texas Longhorns | 75c | 98,612$73,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,653.03 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 46c | 11,531$5,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351.06 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Texas Longhorns | 52c | 10,300$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Longhorns | 41c | 7,714$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Longhorns | 65c | 2,324$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas Longhorns | 76c | 1,304$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Texas Longhorns | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 1,253$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.61 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 1,217$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.68 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Texas Longhorns | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 46c | 866.9$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.02 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 37c | 639.65$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.76 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 482$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.92 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 39c | 458.26$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Longhorns | 42c | 375.12$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 374$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 30c | 299.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 39c | 278.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 244.44$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 177.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Texas Longhorns | 58c | 171.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 39c | 140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Texas Longhorns | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Texas Longhorns | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 56c | 35.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Texas Longhorns | 75c | 25.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Texas Longhorns | 69c | 18.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…3233backed Texas Longhorns | 79c | 16.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.