Earnings · resolved market
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd68c1b4d0811626043f6ebed62b2a23e8c48ef37746fbe0390e3c03e7e89970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 21c | 22,924$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.47 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 17c | 12,559$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.56 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 79c | 8,220$6,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.85 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 19c | 7,656$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.09 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked No | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05db…3130backed No | 15c | 4,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 17c | 4,006$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.88 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 33c | 3,551$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.9 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 26c | 2,825$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…9390backed Yes | 60c | 2,520$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087c…4a76backed Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed No | 43c | 1,996$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…974ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,813$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 23c | 1,200$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.01 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 27c | 1,038$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 51c | 1,003$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.1 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…98cbbacked No | 20c | 999.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…c603backed Yes | 78c | 949.77$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 64c | 911.4$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.47 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…f033backed Yes | 78c | 888.74$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 28c | 868.27$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.61 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 47c | 750$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 27c | 741.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…434fbacked Yes | 72c | 724.5$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +190.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked No | 23c | 694.49$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked Yes | 76c | 656.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 27c | 610.12$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked No | 25c | 608.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 22c | 589.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 575.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 21c | 559.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bda…f001backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 80c | 500$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f8dabacked Yes | 80c | 493.75$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…b0ccbacked Yes | 73c | 453.39$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 21c | 447.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 27c | 446.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…8355backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991b…f19abacked No | 24c | 400$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…1047backed No | 17c | 349.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 23c | 348.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed No | 22c | 315.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 70c | 285.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…7cd2backed No | 24c | 284.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 29c | 276.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…9518backed Yes | 73c | 273.2$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e7…a893backed No | 30c | 269.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…911ebacked Yes | 77c | 260.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…ac7dbacked No | 27c | 260.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed Yes | 72c | 255.07$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 30c | 244.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e2…73bebacked Yes | 76c | 238.73$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 69c | 237.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked Yes | 64c | 234.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Yes | 78c | 230$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…c1a0backed No | 17c | 202.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…b2fabacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…f456backed Yes | 80c | 188$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 18c | 182.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 68c | 180$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…0a19backed Yes | 66c | 180$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 17c | 179.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 23c | 175.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…706abacked Yes | 80c | 170.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 72c | 170$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…9354backed No | 24c | 164.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…2668backed No | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Yes | 76c | 158.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b70…6e9fbacked Yes | 64c | 157.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed No | 26c | 152.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 79c | 151.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2872backed No | 21c | 145.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…2576backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 75c | 131.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked No | 38c | 131.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…55b0backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272f…164fbacked Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…ac24backed Yes | 79c | 126.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…9593backed Yes | 67c | 125.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…a3b1backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…5b6bbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…42e3backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…ddeebacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0264…91acbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…dc66backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…684cbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.