NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc94d569794aba2005aef7262d93703896a111cf29a2b7e5c277a2352f3f090f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Ducks | 34c | 72,179$24,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,678.28 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Golden Knights | 66c | 52,361$34,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,494.49 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Golden Knights | 66c | 38,000$25,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,080 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Ducks | 34c | 35,942$12,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,564.92 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 29,925$19,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,750.21 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Ducks | 34c | 17,000$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,220.23 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Golden Knights | 65c | 8,995$5,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,846.72 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 7,398$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.4 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Golden Knights | 66c | 7,078$4,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,671.78 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 5,866$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.56 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 35c | 4,975$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.33 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 4,895$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.93 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks | 35c | 4,328$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.22 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 4,062$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.54 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ducks | 36c | 3,857$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.5 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ducks | 46c | 3,655$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.59 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ducks | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Golden Knights | 65c | 3,100$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Ducks | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Golden Knights | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Ducks | 35c | 2,868$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.1 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks | 38c | 2,452$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.58 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks | 34c | 2,130$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.3 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ducks | 34c | 2,000$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.66 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Ducks | 34c | 1,919$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.49 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Ducks | 33c | 1,496$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.01 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Ducks | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 42c | 1,277$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.56 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Ducks | 38c | 1,258$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Golden Knights | 18c | 1,217$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.08 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Golden Knights | 17c | 1,166$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ducks | 37c | 1,061$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.23 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Ducks | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Golden Knights | 64c | 911.1$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 900.77$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Golden Knights | 64c | 800$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 45c | 710.22$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.35 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Ducks | 29c | 689$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.19 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 33c | 638.94$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.09 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Golden Knights | 67c | 632.19$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.08 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ducks | 39c | 574.29$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.98 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Ducks | 34c | 566.16$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.67 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…b1c0backed Ducks | 38c | 495.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights | 14c | 471.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 50c | 461.85$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.87 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Golden Knights | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights | 64c | 428$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.87 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 51c | 410$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Golden Knights | 20c | 400.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Golden Knights | 64c | 393$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Ducks | 36c | 375$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Golden Knights | 54c | 369.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 46c | 367$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Golden Knights | 60c | 363$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Golden Knights | 48c | 353.78$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.83 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 45c | 347.73$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Golden Knights | 54c | 335.78$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Golden Knights | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…d070backed Ducks | 38c | 331.63$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Ducks | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Ducks | 36c | 298.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Ducks | 34c | 296.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.67 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Golden Knights | 57c | 294$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.84 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Golden Knights | 67c | 289.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 41c | 283.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Ducks | 35c | 260$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Ducks | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Ducks | 34c | 239.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Golden Knights | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Ducks | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Ducks | 34c | 222$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 215.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked Ducks | 35c | 215$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…c27ebacked Ducks | 73c | 202$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Ducks | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Ducks | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Ducks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Ducks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed Ducks | 37c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Ducks | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Ducks | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks | 32c | 198.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.93 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Golden Knights | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ducks | 26c | 180.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Golden Knights | 66c | 177.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Ducks | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…291cbacked Ducks | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Ducks | 36c | 162.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…8251backed Ducks | 62c | 156.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Ducks | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…ecc9backed Golden Knights | 58c | 145.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…a3b1backed Ducks | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 135.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Golden Knights | 66c | 123.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Golden Knights | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Golden Knights | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Golden Knights | 67c | 107.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Ducks | 36c | 104.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Ducks | 49c | 102.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.