Earnings · resolved market
Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ba4d51596a6ad7f49265e848dbb2af09259e264c8e0856105878d8913aabff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 27c | 2,365$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.85 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 65c | 1,217$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 11c | 812.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.78 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 65c | 744$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 22c | 738.44$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.67 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 65c | 615$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 68c | 569.46$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.66 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 65c | 423$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 65c | 396$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 51c | 374.25$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed No | 72c | 353.08$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.25 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e0…a793backed No | 73c | 342.11$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed No | 66c | 338.39$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 65c | 332$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 30c | 300.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.29 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 231.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked Yes | 45c | 222.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked No | 80c | 221.58$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…a3b1backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Yes | 35c | 194$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Yes | 35c | 181$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa405…99acbacked No | 67c | 179.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 64c | 179$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Yes | 36c | 164$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…339dbacked No | 54c | 162.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 65c | 161$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Yes | 35c | 159$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Yes | 35c | 156$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 156$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Yes | 35c | 155$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Yes | 35c | 153$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Yes | 36c | 152$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Yes | 35c | 151$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Yes | 35c | 149$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…3a52backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Yes | 35c | 146$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Yes | 35c | 143$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 31c | 142$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6a…13f7backed No | 72c | 139.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Yes | 35c | 138$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2339backed Yes | 34c | 136.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 35c | 136$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Yes | 35c | 133$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a75…3ffbbacked No | 68c | 132.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Yes | 35c | 132$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 33c | 131.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 65c | 129$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Yes | 35c | 128$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Yes | 35c | 128$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 33c | 121.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Yes | 32c | 119.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Yes | 35c | 119$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 21c | 113.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Yes | 35c | 111$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed No | 65c | 108$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Yes | 35c | 108$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Yes | 35c | 108$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Yes | 35c | 103$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Yes | 35c | 103$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8e90backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed No | 67c | 98.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 45c | 96.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Yes | 35c | 95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Yes | 35c | 95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 65c | 94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Yes | 36c | 92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…f16abacked No | 68c | 91.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Yes | 35c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 82.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 64c | 81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…c681backed No | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122d…6aa2backed No | 52c | 76.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf605…0e9dbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 35c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…657abacked No | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…e5ccbacked No | 67c | 69.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes | 35c | 68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Yes | 35c | 61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Yes | 35c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ce…d6c3backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked No | 71c | 55.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 22c | 55.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked No | 71c | 54.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked No | 65c | 53.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Yes | 35c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.