Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico Lobos vs. VCU Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c5546d68bfff833d73149b35e46c86e73c4dd7a4b0d442a7c927a08d772ace9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof New Mexico Lobos, VCU Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed VCU Rams | 80c | 6,200$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed New Mexico Lobos | 20c | 5,109$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.2 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico Lobos | 20c | 2,328$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.86 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked VCU Rams | 78c | 2,257$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked VCU Rams | 80c | 1,517$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.6 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked VCU Rams | 21c | 1,150$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.78 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed New Mexico Lobos | 23c | 1,088$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Mexico Lobos | 65c | 800$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked New Mexico Lobos | 40c | 660$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed New Mexico Lobos | 33c | 606.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked New Mexico Lobos | 18c | 582.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.12 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico Lobos | 21c | 521.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VCU Rams | 38c | 486.88$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed New Mexico Lobos | 23c | 329.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.68 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked New Mexico Lobos | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed VCU Rams | 41c | 255$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked VCU Rams | 46c | 204.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked VCU Rams | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked New Mexico Lobos | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked VCU Rams | 80c | 192$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VCU Rams | 69c | 184.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed New Mexico Lobos | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed New Mexico Lobos | 18c | 111$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VCU Rams | 15c | 101$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed VCU Rams | 80c | 97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 96.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 20c | 94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed VCU Rams | 28c | 89.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed VCU Rams | 78c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked New Mexico Lobos | 27c | 73.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked VCU Rams | 43c | 72.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed New Mexico Lobos | 61c | 72.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed VCU Rams | 30c | 57.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked VCU Rams | 79c | 57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed New Mexico Lobos | 20c | 52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed VCU Rams | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed VCU Rams | 78c | 35.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed VCU Rams | 79c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed New Mexico Lobos | 74c | 29.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 46c | 25.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked VCU Rams | 43c | 24.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…037fbacked New Mexico Lobos | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed New Mexico Lobos | 80c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed VCU Rams | 79c | 12.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.