TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Invictus Gamingof Team WE, Invictus Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$567,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$727,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd20f…2f35backed Invictus Gaming70c54,879$38,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,713.249456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Invictus Gaming72c45,983$32,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,999.8314056.4%79 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team WE34c32,627$11,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,104.612,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Team WE40c24,788$9,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,868.551,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe96f…ff4bbacked Team WE34c19,988$6,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,790.27838.5%30 W · 48 L-10.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team WE30c19,204$5,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,669.0690348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team WE31c14,088$4,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.3731328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Team WE1c12,429$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.12844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Invictus Gaming60c10,586$6,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,283.5537245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed Invictus Gaming69c9,921$6,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.047374%54 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed Invictus Gaming69c9,075$6,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.415153.6%81 W · 70 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Team WE45c8,770$3,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,903.5148149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Invictus Gaming69c5,383$3,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.7354353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team WE35c5,369$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.182044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team WE30c4,952$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.61,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Team WE33c4,927$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.5855639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team WE29c4,500$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30570456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Invictus Gaming69c3,298$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.261,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5511…5734backed Team WE30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9824029.2%70 W · 170 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Invictus Gaming75c2,948$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.0667276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Invictus Gaming61c2,837$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.4811060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf56e…2d64backed Invictus Gaming61c2,835$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.837248.6%35 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Team WE34c2,812$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.543151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Invictus Gaming53c2,784$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.8611653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Invictus Gaming72c2,725$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.7250647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Team WE43c2,698$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.6376639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Invictus Gaming57c2,650$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.6831036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Invictus Gaming57c2,547$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.531,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed Invictus Gaming73c2,520$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.8913752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team WE29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72571249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Invictus Gaming60c2,162$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.729345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7262…3a0bbacked Invictus Gaming69c2,118$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.91850%9 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb37…1708backed Invictus Gaming65c2,084$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.074951%25 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5263…3e5dbacked Invictus Gaming63c1,971$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.378964%57 W · 32 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb33…fadebacked Invictus Gaming64c1,957$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.233878.9%30 W · 8 L+7.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Invictus Gaming77c1,933$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.081,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed Team WE30c1,893$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5755637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Invictus Gaming69c1,829$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.918357.9%106 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team WE32c1,822$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.741,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5077…4956backed Team WE33c1,814$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.5217751.4%91 W · 86 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team WE33c1,797$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.2395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78e2…5588backed Invictus Gaming68c1,786$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.136369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team WE30c1,691$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.343,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Invictus Gaming67c1,686$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.0534651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529b…d7eebacked Invictus Gaming69c1,554$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.232356.5%13 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked Invictus Gaming69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46552151.8%270 W · 251 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba90…b283backed Team WE29c1,469$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3416925.4%43 W · 126 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+15.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c2abacked Invictus Gaming70c1,359$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.169268.5%63 W · 29 L+13.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Team WE46c1,340$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.426245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team WE33c1,236$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.6673237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Team WE7c1,212$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.942924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Team WE17c1,134$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8228734.1%98 W · 189 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Team WE47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51717744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2be…02f3backed Team WE31c1,030$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.211729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Invictus Gaming68c1,025$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3518447.8%88 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Invictus Gaming63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37066843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Invictus Gaming71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed Invictus Gaming69c981.45$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3625269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team WE47c968.2$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.052,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked Invictus Gaming70c959.67$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.523467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team WE31c958.6$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1723252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe27a…d8c4backed Invictus Gaming66c942.4$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.187460.8%45 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7168…4e24backed Team WE37c873.65$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.195046%23 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ef…ef37backed Invictus Gaming70c860.3$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.093455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed Invictus Gaming55c814.54$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0928350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team WE30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Invictus Gaming69c775.2$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8321749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Team WE46c765.63$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.911,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed Team WE38c754.96$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1714348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Team WE30c750$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Team WE30c750$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22595847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd046…416ebacked Invictus Gaming69c717.63$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.237646.1%35 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Team WE28c712.53$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0235346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Team WE30c672.18$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6727254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Team WE31c642.26$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.11,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Invictus Gaming65c638.07$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3220649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked Team WE31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.729637.5%36 W · 60 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2a5…326fbacked Invictus Gaming70c609.67$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.797055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Team WE38c604.3$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5263352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Invictus Gaming63c599.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22294144.6%420 W · 521 L-2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Team WE32c599.5$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.841,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team WE7c583.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.981,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team WE43c572.11$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.961,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67b…b3d8backed Invictus Gaming69c568.93$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3724359.3%144 W · 99 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team WE29c555.29$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0329536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Team WE33c555$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.151,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2e…f475backed Team WE31c552.49$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.271414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-73.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed Team WE31c550.42$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6327432.5%89 W · 185 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Invictus Gaming78c548.38$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5840364.5%260 W · 143 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Invictus Gaming70c540.1$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0322462.1%139 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Invictus Gaming58c537.82$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8824750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Invictus Gaming70c528.46$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.541,25154.1%677 W · 574 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6dd…edafbacked Invictus Gaming61c525.32$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1413165.6%86 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed Team WE28c513.75$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5435533.5%119 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf962…5032backed Invictus Gaming62c504.2$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3110363.1%65 W · 38 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Invictus Gaming53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2359738.1%37 W · 60 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Team WE33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1659347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Invictus Gaming69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15567549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Team WE33c489.47$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.536543.1%28 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bd…f2bdbacked Team WE30c484.4$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.679635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.