TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Nongshim Red Force, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$507,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$599,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Nongshim Red Force29c37,157$10,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,747.8827735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed T172c33,401$24,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,386.7164155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f74…de0cbacked T176c15,431$11,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.422365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Nongshim Red Force20c15,138$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.2110353.4%55 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x663d…2dd4backed Nongshim Red Force25c12,500$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,084.8517155%94 W · 77 L+16.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Nongshim Red Force33c12,452$4,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.953750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b5…037fbacked T175c12,421$9,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.684957.1%28 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Nongshim Red Force34c12,278$4,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,131.8348149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe96f…ff4bbacked Nongshim Red Force28c10,043$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.987838.5%30 W · 48 L-10.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim Red Force29c9,708$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.513,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked Nongshim Red Force31c9,640$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d82…1b86backed Nongshim Red Force2c9,291$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.48593.4%2 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Nongshim Red Force10c8,127$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.7725952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Nongshim Red Force13c7,686$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.8789347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Nongshim Red Force31c7,612$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.7833838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Nongshim Red Force33c7,555$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.1467056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Nongshim Red Force31c7,256$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.3523439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed T170c7,139$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.339964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim Red Force10c6,162$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.051,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nongshim Red Force15c5,204$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.451,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T166c5,096$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.2967552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…4d1fbacked T171c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4501968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed T167c4,637$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.724041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked T169c4,500$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4101,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked T171c4,388$3,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.5267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Nongshim Red Force24c4,159$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Nongshim Red Force10c4,102$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.211,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Nongshim Red Force33c4,047$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.511,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Nongshim Red Force21c3,500$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.9955639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed T167c3,423$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.5442735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d9…01e3backed T170c3,400$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T169c3,141$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.711,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Nongshim Red Force30c3,073$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.896250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Nongshim Red Force10c3,052$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.337869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked T161c3,021$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.132,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Nongshim Red Force10c3,016$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.885442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Nongshim Red Force1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302261.8%4 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Nongshim Red Force29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8708560%51 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed T169c2,971$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.593375.8%25 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nongshim Red Force27c2,943$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.8295041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Nongshim Red Force32c2,758$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.464932.7%16 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed T177c2,696$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.7667276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed T177c2,527$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.7618442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed T168c2,500$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79025269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Nongshim Red Force19c2,497$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.71,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed T170c2,450$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73545366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked T175c2,392$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.0920348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Nongshim Red Force30c2,359$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.7477131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed T173c2,342$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.711,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Nongshim Red Force39c2,286$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.9953355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked T168c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8296057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Nongshim Red Force30c2,164$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.251,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd48…2e1abacked Nongshim Red Force17c2,110$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.882832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed T170c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Nongshim Red Force40c1,984$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.6238850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…8e90backed T169c1,875$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.2919559%115 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Nongshim Red Force4c1,869$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8429527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Nongshim Red Force30c1,809$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.558746%40 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Nongshim Red Force15c1,700$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26297427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed T167c1,646$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.3143839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf270…7a37backed T167c1,600$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5369053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed T179c1,500$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31946263.9%295 W · 167 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Nongshim Red Force4c1,483$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2176142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nongshim Red Force24c1,428$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.72,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed T171c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4544451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked T170c1,400$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c8…cf96backed T169c1,380$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.397341.1%30 W · 43 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed T174c1,350$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked T161c1,311$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.4876955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed T170c1,284$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.2926062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nongshim Red Force28c1,254$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.7985742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Nongshim Red Force29c1,240$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.628734.1%98 W · 189 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Nongshim Red Force34c1,220$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.9632844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd621…b9efbacked Nongshim Red Force11c1,200$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.525241.3%104 W · 148 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfae6…920ebacked Nongshim Red Force10c1,172$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed T169c1,156$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.2317961.5%110 W · 69 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked T168c1,149$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.6860347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed T168c1,112$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0846257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…0a6dbacked Nongshim Red Force14c1,054$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.64540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…1438backed T168c1,044$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.173444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed T168c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4115450%77 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Nongshim Red Force32c1,012$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.961,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb03f…9429backed T160c1,005$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.4614324.5%35 W · 108 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nongshim Red Force12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.891,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Nongshim Red Force29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29055750.4%281 W · 276 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed T167c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Nongshim Red Force33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33019839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5077…4956backed T169c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31017751.4%91 W · 86 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T168c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed T169c999.98$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9916058.8%94 W · 66 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Nongshim Red Force28c960$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.81,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed T171c949.02$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2119041.1%78 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed T167c940$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.399338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Nongshim Red Force33c908.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nongshim Red Force10c901$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.11,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed T167c900$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29894144.6%420 W · 521 L-2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Nongshim Red Force17c900$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15330357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0410…b274backed Nongshim Red Force11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Nongshim Red Force42c900$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.0684050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Nongshim Red Force39c899.25$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.7139447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.