Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdadb3edc9706e487f056f2f98778d8699aa138382135d135fdda64d38cd32e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 7c | 1,807$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Under | 58c | 1,552$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.72 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 58c | 1,505$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 32c | 873.18$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 41c | 759.8$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Under | 68c | 725$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 33c | 636.37$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.64 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Under | 69c | 436.25$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 31c | 326.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Under | 69c | 248$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 67c | 202.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 57c | 199.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 32c | 199.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…1d4abacked Over | 49c | 197.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b7…4bb3backed Over | 43c | 137.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 42c | 127.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 62c | 81.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Over | 43c | 74.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 43c | 65.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…ed65backed Under | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 70c | 50.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…5bc1backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…2cf8backed Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Nongshim Red Force won
- First Blood in Game 2?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.