Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13739df0c8a92a6548d4e5b2c73491208fd0e76971a2d586f7d4577a414046af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 46c | 5,322$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.02 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 53c | 790.96$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.75 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 54c | 746.02$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 47c | 418.18$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 53c | 414.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 54c | 267.29$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 54c | 262.62$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 47c | 232.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 54c | 130.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…e70fbacked Over | 46c | 126.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Under | 74c | 102.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1,923 | 35.9%690 W · 1,233 L | -98.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 46c | 50.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 59c | 48.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7af…e28cbacked Over | 51c | 38.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 41c | 31.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 31.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 69c | 29.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 55c | 25.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 295 | 54.2%160 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.