UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e60769f76ddc72e6bcb0a9b6c2cefe9c5983cf99a22d84b81c4b849cd5102b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Diazof Malcolm Wellmaker, Juan Diaz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,216,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,465,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,216,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 650,600$447,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447,048.3 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 155,800$48,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,501.94 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Juan Diaz | 32c | 90,423$28,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,835.45 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 79,750$24,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,027.5 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Juan Diaz | 31c | 79,750$24,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,027.47 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Juan Diaz | 32c | 61,455$19,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,789.3 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 55,110$17,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,025.9 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Juan Diaz | 31c | 55,000$17,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,950 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Juan Diaz | 32c | 45,666$14,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,052.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 38,554$11,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,611.13 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 37,609$11,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,764.03 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 37,131$25,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,598.79 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 26,428$18,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,235.52 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Juan Diaz | 30c | 24,897$7,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,449.72 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Juan Diaz | 32c | 17,742$5,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,104.43 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 60c | 15,906$9,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,585.69 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Juan Diaz | 33c | 15,152$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 12,955$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,958.62 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 12,511$8,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,447.15 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Juan Diaz | 53c | 11,265$5,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,323.03 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Juan Diaz | 33c | 10,570$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,081.79 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 10,251$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,078.48 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 9,368$6,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Juan Diaz | 32c | 8,999$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.21 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 8,574$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 8,063$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,563.47 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Juan Diaz | 43c | 7,509$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.62 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 51c | 6,245$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.34 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Diaz | 41c | 5,350$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.3 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Juan Diaz | 50c | 4,989$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 51c | 4,480$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 4,000$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.97 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 3,741$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.73 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 3,500$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.93 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 3,430$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.71 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Juan Diaz | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Juan Diaz | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Juan Diaz | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Juan Diaz | 31c | 2,942$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.03 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 2,912$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Juan Diaz | 33c | 2,810$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.7 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 2,536$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 70c | 2,500$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Juan Diaz | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 2,000$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.55 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 1,948$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 1,879$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.64 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Juan Diaz | 32c | 1,849$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.91 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 41c | 1,636$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.02 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Juan Diaz | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.97 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Juan Diaz | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Juan Diaz | 52c | 1,532$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.34 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Juan Diaz | 43c | 1,507$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Juan Diaz | 33c | 1,455$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.55 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 1,405$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.31 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…e786backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 70c | 1,376$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 1,357$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.68 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 1,354$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.59 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 1,325$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Juan Diaz | 57c | 1,281$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.12 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 70c | 1,271$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 67c | 1,201$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 1,103$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Juan Diaz | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Juan Diaz | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…5bc3backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 986.76$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 47c | 971.35$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.18 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Juan Diaz | 48c | 968.65$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.01 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 965.55$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 956.52$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Juan Diaz | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 70c | 846$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 70c | 832$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 802.89$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 775.15$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 750.45$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.34 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 741.24$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.46 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 724.42$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 720$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…e172backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 69c | 717.88$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 712.38$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.42 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Juan Diaz | 28c | 699.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.97 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 683.71$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.9 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 59c | 678.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Juan Diaz | 31c | 671.65$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.44 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 659$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.12 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Juan Diaz | 33c | 655.94$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.48 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 647.06$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Malcolm Wellmaker | 68c | 643.5$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840c…162abacked Juan Diaz | 32c | 630$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Juan Diaz | 45c | 608.61$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…ffcdbacked Malcolm Wellmaker | 57c | 560$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Juan Diaz | 31c | 556$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Malcolm Wellmaker win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.