Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f64cd34709acaa1c146979c209c3ded88a84981347754ece943bcf8ca780a66

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $328,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $301,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,293 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	2c	11,254$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.56	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	20c	10,394$2,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,097.37	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	14c	9,816$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380.15	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	61c	6,032$3,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,659.98	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	53c	6,000$3,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,180	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	13c	5,241$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.45	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7463…d2a6backed No	78c	4,990$3,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,093.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	19c	4,144$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.39	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	55c	4,067$2,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,245	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	43c	3,712$1,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,605.49	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	38c	3,333$1,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,066.45	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked No	53c	3,219$1,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.82	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	5c	3,184$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.44	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e87…4f64backed Yes	47c	3,066$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,434.66	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	3,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	31c	2,914$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.43	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	43c	2,776$1,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,583.98	218	57.8%126 W · 92 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	11c	2,502$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.12	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	54c	2,401$1,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,303.12	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	66c	2,362$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.61	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	38c	2,320$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.7	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	44c	2,236$977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.81	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	9c	2,150$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.8	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3f…f75dbacked Yes	61c	2,144$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,306	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	45c	2,069$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.05	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	2,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	4c	2,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	47c	1,919$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,016.95	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	42c	1,879$783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.81	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	67c	1,783$1,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,194.34	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes	60c	1,741$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045.37	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e8…c488backed Yes	61c	1,644$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	25c	1,602$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.79	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes	10c	1,600$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.5	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-83%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e7…1b38backed Yes	62c	1,580$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.77	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	18c	1,579$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.77	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked No	55c	1,563$865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.86	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes	54c	1,515$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.25	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	2c	1,500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	3c	1,500$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	61c	1,500$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.11	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa028…0f33backed Yes	27c	1,475$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.68	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed No	39c	1,385$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848.71	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…924ebacked Yes	58c	1,356$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.92	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	38c	1,341$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$837.36	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	1,300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…77acbacked Yes	10c	1,300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.6	159	25.2%40 W · 119 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes	19c	1,260$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.03	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	2c	1,229$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	5c	1,200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x620d…9f02backed Yes	60c	1,200$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	60c	1,200$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…765abacked No	67c	1,200$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.99	22	90.9%20 W · 2 L	+4.3wins	+0.19per pick	71cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	3c	1,141$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…eee6backed Yes	60c	1,093$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	51c	1,067$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.74	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…3600backed Yes	65c	1,062$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.66	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf48…136dbacked No	52c	1,021$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.03	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	37c	1,018$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.86	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes	46c	1,002$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.8	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2fe…6791backed Yes	65c	1,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	42c	1,000$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.23	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b54…2d32backed Yes	60c	980.54$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.75	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	53c	972.38$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.35	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df4…c7cbbacked No	36c	972$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.57	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed No	37c	911.56$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.23	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No	37c	900$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.7	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e82…af92backed No	33c	866.94$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.98	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	4c	849.27$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.35	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No	31c	827.94$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.92	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc3…41b0backed Yes	55c	819.29$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	45c	814$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.95	241	55.6%134 W · 107 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	11c	809.9$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.9	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked No	62c	790.24$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.33	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5088…8844backed Yes	11c	782.41$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.25	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1b…cd39backed Yes	25c	771.19$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8acd…e6fabacked Yes	51c	756$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	68c	733.97$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	64c	700$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	4c	700$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes	41c	700$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287	360	18.6%67 W · 293 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed No	38c	671.88$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.64	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed No	57c	668.91$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9476…28bcbacked Yes	24c	664.34$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.15	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f51…bbfcbacked No	38c	663.34$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.27	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4288…00e8backed Yes	72c	658.55$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.67	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No	28c	644.89$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.32	131	61.8%81 W · 50 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	32c	630.46$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.72	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	71c	625.44$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.03	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	42c	622.07$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.28	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	51c	619.01$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.06	112	24.1%27 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes	11c	611.39$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.59	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee72…5d8dbacked Yes	69c	610.69$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.49	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	3c	610.03$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x593a…deabbacked Yes	72c	609.96$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.17	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb237…3816backed Yes	63c	600$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Yes	64c	600$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes	65c	593$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.35	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb33e…cd0abacked Yes	18c	585.12$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.35	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	36c	579.99$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.4	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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