Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b67f4ab267e2fc1d48941ca2e0b273ded6e9866ddcb8b0268824d4ab5fae54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 89,419$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 2c | 36,426$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.97 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes | 0c | 21,650$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,168$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 0c | 16,322$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Yes | 0c | 16,128$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 3c | 13,301$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.14 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 0c | 10,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…0484backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 1c | 4,385$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 152 | 21.1%32 W · 120 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,209$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 1c | 3,725$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 3,490$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…824fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,316$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e87…4f64backed Yes | 11c | 2,639$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 1c | 2,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,245$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 2c | 2,105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 1c | 2,054$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 211 | 22.3%47 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,005$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…eaaabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 296 | 8.1%24 W · 272 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 11c | 1,841$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed Yes | 12c | 1,807$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.07 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 9c | 1,414$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 7c | 1,396$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Yes | 6c | 1,392$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 1,271$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 2c | 1,234$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 1,190 | 8.7%104 W · 1,086 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,217$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.77 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 6c | 1,092$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 216 | 6%13 W · 203 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 9c | 1,070$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc10…ca4ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,022$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 6c | 1,022$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…1b01backed Yes | 19c | 1,018$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 8c | 1,004$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c8…9ddabacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…f3d4backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +358.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 1c | 950$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b28…5b76backed Yes | 1c | 934.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 5c | 899.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 10c | 835.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…0d39backed Yes | 2c | 799.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 9c | 739.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 712.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 10c | 663.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 5c | 663.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…88f5backed Yes | 2c | 657.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 5c | 599.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…1ac1backed Yes | 5c | 598.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 4c | 534.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 2c | 530.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…b9a4backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes | 6c | 452.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 653 | 11%72 W · 581 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 4c | 405.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 296 | 10.5%31 W · 265 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 12c | 403.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7746…0ba6backed Yes | 4c | 402.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…9971backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 12.8%45 W · 306 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…ea54backed Yes | 7c | 386.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Yes | 17c | 375.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 149 | 12.8%19 W · 130 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 6c | 375$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes | 19c | 371.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 6c | 333.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 7c | 333.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec07…ca80backed Yes | 18c | 329.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 7c | 304.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 13c | 283.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…eaaebacked Yes | 7c | 280.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7522…df3cbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…653bbacked Yes | 17c | 260.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92d…a225backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 8.2%19 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 7c | 224.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 7c | 208.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 16c | 202$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6b…0420backed Yes | 23c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 10c | 191.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 24c | 179.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 183 | 21.9%40 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf605…b676backed Yes | 11c | 178.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…7660backed Yes | 12c | 130.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…073abacked Yes | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 11c | 125.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…4665backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.