Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3160e14c5336262e7bf4c57db6b3694c45585b415dafbfff00b11aa8a5b14ad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 53c | 141,114$75,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,171.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 16,978$8,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,625.96 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 14,586$7,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,876.44 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 11,579$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,234.64 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 53c | 9,841$5,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,215.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 9,658$4,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,081.04 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 7,499$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657.57 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 47c | 6,839$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 47c | 6,592$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…c267backed Under | 47c | 5,746$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Under | 47c | 5,142$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 5,116$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 47c | 4,857$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 43c | 4,413$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.39 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 47c | 4,120$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 4,027$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.83 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 44c | 3,923$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.62 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 3,873$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.58 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 3,797$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.12 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 3,520$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.85 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 46c | 3,517$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.62 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 46c | 3,517$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.62 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 46c | 3,323$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.69 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 47c | 2,905$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.44 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 2,738$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.17 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 2,201$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.32 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 47c | 2,196$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.82 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 2,156$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 46c | 2,086$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 48c | 2,016$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.45 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 60c | 1,702$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.1 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Over | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 64c | 1,529$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.4 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 46c | 1,513$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.11 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 1,499$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.35 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 74c | 1,366$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.86 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 46c | 1,314$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 1,303$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.8 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 46c | 1,295$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 1,150$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Under | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 995$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.65 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 983.68$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.51 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 47c | 974.38$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 66c | 953.33$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 47c | 873.37$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.88 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Under | 47c | 871.38$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 46c | 847.83$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Over | 74c | 678.43$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under | 46c | 543$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 534.63$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.18 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 505.92$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.63 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 51c | 495$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…e77abacked Under | 46c | 494.44$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 46c | 477.05$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.3 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Over | 54c | 465.28$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 46c | 416.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 13c | 393.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 74c | 385.88$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 380$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 47c | 370$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 7c | 364.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 362.3$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 361.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 29c | 356.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.46 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 44c | 354.14$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 46c | 343.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 316.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 46c | 312.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Over | 52c | 306$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.