TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,803 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over53c141,114$75,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,171.831560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Under47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c16,978$8,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,625.963,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over54c14,586$7,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,876.4410041%41 W · 59 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c11,579$5,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,234.641,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over53c9,841$5,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,215.613250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c9,658$4,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,081.041,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2406549.2%32 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c7,499$3,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,657.5748141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under46c7,000$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7803554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under47c6,839$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under47c6,592$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,493.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1805843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1805541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x115a…c267backed Under47c5,746$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Under47c5,142$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c5,116$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.471546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under47c4,857$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under43c4,413$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.394445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under47c4,120$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.62343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c4,027$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.8369851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under44c3,923$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.6221355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under47c3,873$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.585461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c3,797$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.122,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c3,520$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.8517247.1%81 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under46c3,517$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.6218644.1%82 W · 104 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under46c3,517$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.6220548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8556744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under46c3,323$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.698448.8%41 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5905944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under47c2,905$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.443461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over43c2,738$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.1775142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over70c2,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.992470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c2,201$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.3222047.3%104 W · 116 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under47c2,196$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.822015%3 W · 17 L-6.7wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-67.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over50c2,156$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0782450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under46c2,086$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.123946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under47c2,060$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under48c2,016$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.455133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over60c1,702$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.116060.6%97 W · 63 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Over41c1,700$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over64c1,529$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.49856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under46c1,513$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.1155058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under47c1,499$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.357443.2%32 W · 42 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over74c1,366$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.8613754%74 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under46c1,314$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.562138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c1,303$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.881732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under46c1,295$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.891346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under47c1,236$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.081560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c1,150$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60849647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd1f…2bd0backed Under47c1,063$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53063645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5306549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5306647%31 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5305349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5303158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c995$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.651,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under47c983.68$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.512532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under47c974.38$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under46c967.6$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.58158%47 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over66c953.33$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.2988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4775745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Under47c873.37$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.883644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under47c871.38$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.831533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under46c847.83$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.832445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4245743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4246446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4245745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Over74c678.43$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.04520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under46c543$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c534.63$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1848146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c505.92$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6312560.8%76 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11511142.3%47 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2657050%35 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2655646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over51c495$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4511540.9%47 W · 68 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Under46c494.44$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under46c477.05$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.314652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a9d…0553backed Over54c465.28$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over50c430$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under47c420$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.68950.6%45 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under47c420$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.68851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under46c416.66$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.217852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over13c393.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1310728%30 W · 77 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under74c385.88$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.331735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-44.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c380$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.29459.6%56 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under47c370$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.18949.4%44 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Over7c364.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.541533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c362.3$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.121,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c361.14$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.415244.1%67 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under29c356.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.469052.2%47 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over44c354.14$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.57850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under46c343.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.084951%25 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c316.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7542046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under46c312.09$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.511049.1%54 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Over52c306$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.121030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1595451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1594544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.