Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1babebbc053448fac300e7cde38257ff203fbd76c98e4bc1c92540c42713886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 3,056$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.63 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 2,408$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.09 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed No | 43c | 2,234$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 64c | 1,540$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 70c | 1,066$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.92 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 2c | 940.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Yes | 59c | 880.13$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.92 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 55c | 740.54$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 64c | 412.11$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 61c | 400.25$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 41c | 310.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 284.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.23 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 59c | 269.13$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 264.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 255.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 59c | 247.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…6510backed Yes | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 60c | 228.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 58c | 197.61$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 16c | 162.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 37c | 153.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 71c | 149.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 30c | 149.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 71c | 146.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 42c | 124.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7c…4149backed Yes | 72c | 92.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…ab1fbacked Yes | 58c | 86.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 57c | 85.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 57c | 69.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 73c | 68.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 62.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 43c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 35c | 59.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 56.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 41c | 51.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 67c | 50.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 70c | 49.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 29c | 47.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 32c | 39.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 59c | 35.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 37c | 33.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 63c | 29.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 73c | 27.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 64c | 27.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 59c | 24.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 44c | 24.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 61c | 20.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Yes | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.