Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61dd08bff55d69500fe64b7d5ee8f9a0e856c3708b28e7f99d22f4ec6b830dc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x933f…1540backed Under | 73c | 3,779$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 45c | 3,716$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 2,291$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.8 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 42c | 2,224$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 39c | 2,128$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.08 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Under | 3c | 2,072$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 58c | 1,914$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.77 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,410$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 1,098$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,097$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.77 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 977.57$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.01 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 53c | 911.84$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.56 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e3…23bfbacked Under | 4c | 879.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Under | 45c | 843.21$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 747.56$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.93 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 49c | 599.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 594.53$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.02 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 440.56$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.31 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 440.07$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.95 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 422.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 25c | 408.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.88 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 31c | 386.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 22c | 378.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 296.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 38c | 283.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.7 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…c8e5backed Over | 38c | 266.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 37c | 265.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 30c | 257.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 56c | 244.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…2821backed Under | 22c | 235.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…0513backed Over | 42c | 229.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 213.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 14c | 202.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…8166backed Over | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 31c | 179.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 39c | 173.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 55c | 155.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 80c | 139.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 28c | 135.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 15c | 130$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 25c | 129.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 79c | 126.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 45c | 119.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…11dfbacked Over | 21c | 115.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +385.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 44c | 107.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 61c | 98.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 25c | 93.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 43c | 88.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Under | 15c | 73.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 74c | 68.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 73c | 60.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe909…7bb9backed Over | 44c | 53.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 38c | 50.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Under | 25c | 49.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 27c | 47.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…78efbacked Over | 78c | 46.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…c3a5backed Over | 30c | 34.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Over | 62c | 31.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 48c | 28.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 59c | 21.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 79c | 17.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.