Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacd324b6cf44f55b845e172fa248b0978229f833b8957fbe7709211c05d72046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,116$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.59 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 903.32$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.4 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 425.09$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 378.81$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed No | 77c | 344.38$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 146$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 35c | 141.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +81%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 23c | 97.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 55.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 40c | 53.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Yes | 45c | 42.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…839fbacked No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed No | 79c | 17.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Alverca (-2.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Alverca won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)FC Alverca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.