Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f89392a85080d3f6892df281ead5289bb04045ad389dcf2db6220dd49887cc7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,640 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under	53c	8,770$4,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,121.9	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+5.7wins	+0.21per pick	53cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,350	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	47c	2,114$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.42	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6043…84afbacked Under	68c	2,099$1,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-55%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	56c	1,500$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.99	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over	54c	1,217$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.07	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	36c	1,168$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.59	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	53c	985$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.94	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over	51c	960.79$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over	48c	833.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under	55c	769$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.05	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	52c	640$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.2	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	48c	620$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.6	192	35.9%69 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Under	50c	588$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Under	52c	577$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.96	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	573.78$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.81	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under	53c	471.7$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.7	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	48c	371$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.08	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	55c	348.76$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.93	1,923	42.4%815 W · 1,108 L	-42.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	47c	337.3$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.53	553	51.9%287 W · 266 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over	44c	326$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.3	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31b3…8d3dbacked Over	71c	300$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over	48c	291.67$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over	36c	269.44$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Under	44c	227.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Under	44c	227.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	73	26%19 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	42c	202.95$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.81	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-6.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over	55c	199.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.99	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc041…a87bbacked Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf63…ba76backed Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over	22c	182.05$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	75	22.7%17 W · 58 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed Under	59c	170.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.71	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+22%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	49c	154.12$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over	66c	152$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.32	81	59.3%48 W · 33 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	66cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over	70c	142.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	55c	133.2$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.26	250	49.6%124 W · 126 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	40c	130$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	8c	126.83$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over	29c	123.14$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.71	279	48%134 W · 145 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	34c	107.6$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.02	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	53c	104.24$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	596	45.5%271 W · 325 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	172	44.2%76 W · 96 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	40c	97.2$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.99	186	51.6%96 W · 90 L	+13.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under	52c	95$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	279	55.9%156 W · 123 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	57c	90.03$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.54	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6d…039bbacked Over	48c	83.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	45c	82.2$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.34	726	58.7%426 W · 300 L	+48.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	64c	79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.43	755	42.3%319 W · 436 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Over	68c	73.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	43c	70.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	203	36.9%75 W · 128 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under	61c	63.93$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.93	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	140	45%63 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	53c	61.37$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.84	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under	43c	58.14$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.14	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	53c	58$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.26	224	43.8%98 W · 126 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	53c	57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.79	112	48.2%54 W · 58 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over	47c	56.6$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ee…bc1abacked Under	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	55cpaid	+47%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	47c	55.85$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Under	54c	55.74$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.74	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	52c	55.52$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.65	329	51.4%169 W · 160 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under	44c	52.27$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.27	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	52c	49.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over	60c	49.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a65…3340backed Over	43c	48.84$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	53c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.6	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over	48c	41.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over	47c	40.66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Over	48c	38.15$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…311fbacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.25per pick	53cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Under	51c	36.35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.81	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.20per pick	39cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over	39c	34.79$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.57	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over	34c	33.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	53c	33.32$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.66	1,179	50%590 W · 589 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Under	42c	28.52$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.52	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	48c	28$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.44	697	42.5%296 W · 401 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0f…e047backed Over	48c	27.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over	50c	27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	47c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	808	53.6%433 W · 375 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+21.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	52c	22.51$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under	54c	21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	173	37.6%65 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	68c	20.73$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.66	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event