Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf67a7756642b0e7a36c4791e6edd37a3c72e9c07ab8772039bb979ace9f5ec4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 37c | 476.29$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 47c | 316.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 63c | 314.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 250.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 136.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 47c | 131.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…d3b0backed No | 46c | 109.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 56c | 87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 48c | 63.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 54.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 46c | 43.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 29.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 51c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Yes | 53c | 28.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 48c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 22.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Yes | 53c | 20.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…dea2backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.