Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63b09127d31bbf22ebe423f77f4f80c29c6f7ea041f86717a5ecca6e133113a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Sunderland AFC, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 77c | 990.37$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 77c | 578.98$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Sunderland AFC | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Sunderland AFC | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sunderland AFC | 23c | 460.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed Sunderland AFC | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 402$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0920…19a4backed Sunderland AFC | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Sunderland AFC | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Sunderland AFC | 20c | 176.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Sunderland AFC | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Sunderland AFC | 24c | 113.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Sunderland AFC | 24c | 112.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 76c | 74.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 76c | 24.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.