Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68c46e1494df51430075440cd4d344511dde5680d109bf8154ec038a56b80765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 36c | 2,534$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.21 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 1,306$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.85 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 80c | 1,125$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 80c | 660.1$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 64c | 522.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…8d3dbacked Over | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 29c | 410.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 28c | 361.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 78c | 320.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 276.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 239.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 205.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 72c | 152.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 26c | 141.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 12c | 118.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 74c | 113.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 109.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…f083backed Over | 73c | 68.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 64c | 60.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 73c | 53.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 72c | 52.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 73c | 43.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 26c | 40.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e9a6backed Over | 78c | 39.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 64c | 34.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 73c | 30.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Over | 78c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.