South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39235c3d04ffd6315e449df4458cee2a6dd20b3e27e75c51eb1feb1a5c745316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 4,519$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 35c | 1,258$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Over | 41c | 1,023$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.7 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 812.27$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.12 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 74c | 636.92$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 483.06$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.53 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 37c | 414.27$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7893…f071backed Over | 28c | 399.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 80c | 356.62$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Under | 56c | 347.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 68c | 303.6$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 291.96$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 26c | 260.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 67c | 235.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 56c | 174.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 172.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 49c | 168.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 68c | 168.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 164.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 162.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 58c | 159.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 144.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 31c | 109.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f7…bd16backed Over | 69c | 71.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Over | 53c | 66.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 68c | 61.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 47c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 32c | 39.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…6bd3backed Over | 68c | 36.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 77c | 28.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…ee70backed Over | 75c | 23.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Over | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 67c | 19.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 76c | 18.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 74c | 17.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.