South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37cbab2021826bb45bdb0e8af1bd8cf70b833f38d9f484daaead52807e031cfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 38c | 2,689$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.19 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 1,131$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Under | 52c | 1,115$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 967.44$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 48c | 757.6$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 385.61$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 48c | 322.61$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 44c | 293.79$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 233.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 221.43$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 61c | 195.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 159.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 157.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 144.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 131$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 86.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 38c | 75.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 58c | 63.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 42c | 55.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 60c | 54.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Under | 67c | 44.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Under | 55c | 36.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 60c | 33.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 60c | 32.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 39c | 28.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 27.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 24.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 69c | 19.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 60c | 16.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.