Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ac3f14410005ad92bf0f15f293f963fc454f811f47e9ab38b3b30a012da86b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 37c | 31,674$11,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,716.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 21,714$13,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,009.99 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 63c | 4,179$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.61 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 63c | 3,298$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.23 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 63c | 1,830$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.1 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,031$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.67 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 63c | 884.58$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.44 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 35c | 526.72$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.23 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Yes | 37c | 502.3$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 64c | 497$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 63c | 469.32$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked No | 71c | 431.35$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 31c | 399.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 343.69$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 38c | 343.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.24 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 39c | 333.59$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 22c | 275.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 38c | 265.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 260.88$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…e722backed Yes | 40c | 250.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 245.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 25c | 240.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 235.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 62c | 191.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03aa…0312backed No | 59c | 189.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 23c | 174.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 38c | 158.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 29c | 150.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 72c | 136.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 68c | 133.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 27c | 128.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 63c | 127.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 41c | 126.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…1c13backed No | 55c | 109.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 103.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 42c | 100.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked No | 60c | 100.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 63c | 99.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 55c | 94.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7633…d7eebacked Yes | 37c | 92.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 40c | 92.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 60c | 89.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed No | 66c | 81.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 67c | 81.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 64c | 71.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…6ddabacked Yes | 41c | 68.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 66.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked No | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 57.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 46c | 56.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 37c | 56.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 70c | 52.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 28c | 52.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d5…f1eebacked Yes | 37c | 51.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 44c | 51.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 59c | 51.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 39c | 50.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 37c | 40.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 36c | 40.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 29c | 39.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 63c | 36.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 40c | 35.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 45c | 35.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 63c | 27.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed No | 77c | 26.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed No | 63c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 46c | 22.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…87e2backed No | 63c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed No | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 19.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked No | 63c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?No won
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.