TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No79c4,005$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.735,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No24c3,256$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.1692835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Yes21c2,059$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.953627.8%10 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes16c1,500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26024323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes30c1,013$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.113342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c862.44$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.591,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No7c751.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.453831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes29c602.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.46737.3%25 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No8c596.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0315240.1%61 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes19c528.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.6828532.3%92 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes10c514.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.085442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed No13c481.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.216043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No74c443.24$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9627639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No71c403$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1318353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes24c371.17$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4615826.6%42 W · 116 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8321830.7%67 W · 151 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes23c304.78$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No74c280.37$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3924448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No71c260$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.614453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No9c253.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.911,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No80c250.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes26c232.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.798457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a58…1497backed Yes29c227.59$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.59825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes22c224.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.262240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c223.33$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16689955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes31c207.29$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.529542.1%40 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes28c199.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.65226.9%14 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No10c198$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72345.9%2 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-92.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c166.25$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7984347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No70c160$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No71c154.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.641,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes16c145.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0916252.5%85 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes30c140$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.051442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb94e…f954backed Yes14c139.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.061233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c137.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.672,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No78c135.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3273850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18fe…bfdabacked Yes26c132.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e4…e722backed Yes79c126.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes16c123.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.478214.6%12 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No76c105.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807856.4%44 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.451838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Yes29c102.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.544045%18 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f7…4ae3backed Yes11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+203%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Yes15c98.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.95425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+69.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes19c95.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2646422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No70c95.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8714953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes29c93.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.11533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No25c90.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.443545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.072619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No72c72.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.131,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No69c72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4411347.8%54 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e6…87a4backed Yes24c70$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+100.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No74c70$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5211650%58 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6738737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No76c65.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8432560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes23c63.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.947146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87cb…1e6bbacked Yes16c62.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+165.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes29c62.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.077143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80aa…e8eabacked No23c61.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+76.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4517630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ae…b680backed Yes24c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+313.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa376…c17dbacked Yes23c59.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+329%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No75c56.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5834558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No51c51.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1323052.6%121 W · 109 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.76759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.56147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes24c49.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.994744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Yes25c44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b03…13eebacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes27c37.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed No79c34.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No73c33.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3915455.8%86 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No73c32.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5218446.2%85 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked No72c30.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…3e9fbacked No72c28.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.331968.4%13 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No74c27.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.617574.7%56 W · 19 L+13.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed No75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No73c24.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2554354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.764652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40fe…c756backed No71c21.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked No73c19.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.141866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No71c18.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9320860.1%125 W · 83 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No75c17.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.925271.2%37 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No71c16.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0642351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No78c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7515470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.