Asian League · resolved market
Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24dfbeb914e82ece0424fc1a9c08c77c7b8975a73d2cc3c659332b8ffc2862d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed No | 66c | 4,995$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 3,624$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.56 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked No | 52c | 1,248$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 32c | 598.87$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.23 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 75c | 593.4$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 38c | 491.48$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.36 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 10c | 461.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 51c | 404.14$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 34c | 396.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked No | 31c | 323.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 41c | 320.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 48c | 245.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 222.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 55c | 193.09$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked No | 55c | 181.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 35c | 172.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 51c | 161.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 153.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 34c | 148.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 29c | 139$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 118.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 71c | 113.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 100.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…1cd6backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 48c | 79.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 59c | 77.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 71c | 74.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Yes | 72c | 69.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 58c | 63.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…1586backed No | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 66c | 45.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963f…4487backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Yes | 35c | 42.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 50c | 40.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 31c | 39.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 46c | 39.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 29c | 37.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 35c | 34.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Yes | 74c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 32.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 31.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 72c | 29.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 56c | 28.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…b686backed Yes | 58c | 28.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8a…abbcbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 44c | 25.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.