Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8660acd1ea290dd40ab86b7aba23ff19c0320e0470f04dfb7e61f675fe625413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 40c | 6,141$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 0c | 4,813$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 2,299$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.94 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9172…af2fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,261$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 60c | 1,141$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.31 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 41c | 1,052$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.65 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 15c | 758.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Yes | 39c | 741.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 62c | 709.26$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.52 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 14c | 682.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 37c | 535.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 526.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 38c | 509.36$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 482.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 21c | 388.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 10c | 318$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 18c | 297.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 62c | 296.92$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 61c | 283.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 268.53$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed No | 59c | 214.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed No | 61c | 200.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 59c | 192.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked No | 60c | 176.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 59c | 156.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 61c | 122.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed No | 65c | 122.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 61c | 117.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 70c | 112.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 57c | 99.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 19c | 90.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 60c | 70.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 42c | 68.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1798backed Yes | 29c | 66.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…d63bbacked No | 58c | 60.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 19c | 58.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 65c | 50.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked No | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 41c | 47.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed No | 62c | 46.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 38c | 46.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 39c | 42.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 41.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…09a5backed No | 68c | 41.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Yes | 29c | 38.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 59c | 37.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…6743backed No | 60c | 36.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 67c | 35.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yes | 41c | 34.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 59c | 32.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 59c | 32.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 62c | 31.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 62c | 31.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed No | 66c | 31.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…8a22backed Yes | 41c | 28.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 66c | 22.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked No | 69c | 20.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 73c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed No | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 59c | 18.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-24?Yes won
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.