Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd304153c6021fab698a3285e27039744c29c9b637970e7fc6297079c1d5a55f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 3,174$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.43 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 18c | 2,018$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.42 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 1,206$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 939.95$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.44 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…96a4backed No | 72c | 702.86$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 16c | 445.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 419.68$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 345.59$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 31c | 311.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 29c | 299.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…1c13backed Yes | 29c | 275.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 199.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed No | 78c | 148.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 22c | 138.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Yes | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 130.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 129.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 11c | 108.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 19c | 100.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 29c | 99.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 12c | 97.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Yes | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 21c | 85.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 27c | 74.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 30c | 64.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 59.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 53.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 52.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 46.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Yes | 28c | 36.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 79c | 31.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 35c | 31.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…aad9backed No | 80c | 28.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 71c | 27.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 72c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed No | 71c | 19.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 17.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf293…ba11backed Yes | 61c | 17.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-24?Yes won
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.