Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b25fbe81d21b648061422c47504a634e750b58049a43378058ee6eda6874ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 1,898$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.25 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 1,650$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.86 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,357$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.78 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 56c | 796.24$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.57 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Yes | 29c | 531.52$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 4c | 409.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 62c | 402.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 21c | 400.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.06 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 67c | 364.02$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 66c | 355.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 23c | 326.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 22c | 252.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 41c | 235.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 40c | 168.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Yes | 72c | 164.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 152.56$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 22c | 141.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 57c | 139.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked No | 9c | 125$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 13cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 70c | 110.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.35per pick | 8cpaid | +320.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 38c | 85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 27c | 84.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 64c | 74.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 37c | 60.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 43c | 55.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 71c | 50.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 39.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 39.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…67c8backed Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 76c | 30.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 77c | 30.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 29.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed Yes | 65c | 25.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 77c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Yes | 65c | 17.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-04-24?Yes won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.