South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x498307134ab872894ea86d2d5d6406a53eaff6e64ab2a2ee11c738ea1d8c8994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 36c | 17,106$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 1,766$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.08 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 64c | 1,750$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 1,372$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 6c | 1,197$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 65c | 826.83$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.12 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 63c | 543.34$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 66c | 454.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 64c | 450$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 66c | 391.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 66c | 391.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Yes | 4c | 386.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 26c | 224.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 67c | 218.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 212.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 64c | 205$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 65c | 197.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 34c | 179.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 63c | 176.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 174$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 172$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 34c | 172$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 23c | 143.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 10c | 141.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 37c | 127.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 38c | 118.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 38c | 115.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 64c | 89.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 66c | 86.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked No | 64c | 81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 73c | 79.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes | 34c | 72.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 34c | 72.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 66c | 58.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 65c | 49.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 45.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed No | 67c | 40.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 33c | 39.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61eb…6a61backed Yes | 38c | 38.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa7…858fbacked Yes | 35c | 35.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 37c | 33.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 36c | 28.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 66c | 28.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked No | 67c | 25.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 68c | 25.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 66c | 16.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.