South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6259b1a6e46e0f755f44dbfb29e8414fecbb11e197c3be0eb4831338e53ecea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 6c | 2,413$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 22c | 906.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.13 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 3c | 765.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 635.6$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.23 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 64c | 611.5$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 11c | 446.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 323.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 33c | 287.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 17c | 278.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 263.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 30c | 263.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.37 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 25c | 230.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 11c | 193.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 192$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 191.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 171.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 170.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 144.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 64c | 138.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 62c | 134.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 36c | 134.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 133.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 30c | 131$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 22c | 124.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 99.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 22c | 89.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 89.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 66c | 81.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Yes | 73c | 73.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed No | 38c | 68.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed No | 23c | 65.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 67c | 62.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 62.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…f078backed Yes | 34c | 57.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 55.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b68abacked No | 79c | 52.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 22c | 50.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 37c | 49.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 59c | 49.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 32c | 44.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed No | 24c | 42.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 65c | 37.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 66c | 37.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 35c | 34.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 35c | 34.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 79c | 33.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 33c | 33.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 76c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 70c | 26.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 68c | 24.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 23.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 54c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…ae42backed Yes | 75c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.