Asian League · resolved market
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72a337c203b50c4d7e921fa210ba045804322508c8a821e2fc85da0e73653c7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 49c | 2,809$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.29 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 51c | 1,328$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.57 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 50c | 1,103$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.88 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…85ebbacked Over | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4a…2c56backed Over | 49c | 1,017$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 522.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…f70cbacked Over | 74c | 345.68$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 285.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 49c | 209.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…23c6backed Over | 47c | 168.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 47c | 159.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 157.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Under | 47c | 121.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 56c | 100.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 32c | 97.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 32c | 90.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 89.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Over | 74c | 79.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 27c | 75.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 73c | 64.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 77c | 62.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 48c | 50.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 50c | 47.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 47c | 41.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 26c | 41.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Over | 50c | 36.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 34.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 58c | 33.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 50c | 29.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 49c | 26.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 46c | 25.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5Over won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Over won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.