Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37412e18b8646a1a851a54de9993fa360a2693ebdfdb464b9df3e54287d041f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 66c | 3,339$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 2,292$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.89 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,271$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 2c | 1,041$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Over | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Over | 9c | 682.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 52c | 639.52$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 63c | 599.49$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.68 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 63c | 404.78$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 35c | 378.13$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Under | 29c | 339.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…587dbacked Under | 53c | 331.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 50c | 196.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 184.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 41c | 167.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…b7cabacked Under | 8c | 159.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +244.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Over | 62c | 155.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 55c | 153.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…7a39backed Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 145.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 34c | 132.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5417backed Over | 44c | 114.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 34c | 102.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 97.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 82.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 82.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Over | 35c | 74.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 34c | 62.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 41c | 58.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 69c | 55.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 42c | 52.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 39c | 49.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 72c | 41.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 55c | 38.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 35c | 35.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Under | 34c | 34.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 72c | 34.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 37c | 33.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 49c | 32.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 56c | 32.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 41c | 27.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Under | 46c | 25.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 67c | 22.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.