Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022a1fa3f502b806de76ea5ed37ee6c9153d852b3ba4d63e8e654aa7999c4403
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 24c | 1,031$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 878.74$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 429.65$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Under | 75c | 405.26$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 365.52$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 18c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 61c | 89.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 62c | 77.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 16c | 70.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 59c | 68.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 72c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.