TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes26c34,211$8,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,837.481540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c5,638$4,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.421,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c5,600$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.72,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c5,092$4,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.655,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c1,951$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.423,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No74c1,750$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45516558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes16c1,270$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.166735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c1,088$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.461,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No74c999.06$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.7627855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c714.03$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.253,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes4c702.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2739127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No71c671.25$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.031,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c600$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes31c584.67$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62de…39fbbacked No74c550$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1306643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24f7…75fbbacked No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13021657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c453.41$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.621,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No74c450$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11724956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10421358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10416559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No74c397.57$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8420360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes18c320.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.851,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No79c318.57$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6721132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes29c307.21$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.142330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes33c299.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3818828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No74c297.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0223551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes7c273.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1782434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed No73c269.53$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.772466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes30c261.85$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.563225%8 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc64c…e605backed Yes16c181.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes16c180$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4416349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No73c180$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.655155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c179$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.541,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes28c167.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8850746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.54320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3915560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes35c137.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0515326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed No73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes29c132.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.247756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1218743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes12c113.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6416842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed No76c107.44$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.042564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No76c106.19$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.948155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No71c102.26$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0144843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb611…188fbacked No76c101.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.362259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2618959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No75c98.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0917261%105 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes28c94.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1947758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes29c91.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3344959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes28c88.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1157157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes28c88.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No74c88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.882,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No74c84.59$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3167548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked No74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.513557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c72.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.172,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.28045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Yes32c67.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.491533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x175e…8e46backed Yes25c60.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.613465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No74c58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0816453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed Yes32c55.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b5…2193backed No71c55.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.881580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes29c44.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8919955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116a…82f9backed Yes31c43.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed No78c32.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.267162%44 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c32.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.638,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No66c31.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.625864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No76c30.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.378265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No66c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0915945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…cddbbacked No76c28.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No74c22.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8911156.8%63 W · 48 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed No74c22.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.767265.3%47 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No74c21.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.539741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No76c21.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0220055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55560%33 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No75c15.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.879953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed No76c13.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.363450%17 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.