South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77c7c00eaf0cdc8c73d0b40e0cb03698ac04a579496399b42d682e271f472433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked No | 0c | 27,638$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 15c | 25,557$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,631.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 6,179$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 3,821$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 2,638$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 20c | 2,275$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.07 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…de49backed Yes | 28c | 1,370$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 56c | 1,154$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 32c | 1,053$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.1 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 71c | 1,029$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.78 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 54c | 990.15$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 17c | 838.41$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.88 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.77 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 505.47$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.22 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 13c | 422.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.07 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 17c | 419.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.94 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 410.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 15c | 347.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 335.56$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.37 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 41c | 289.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 256.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.92 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…38e7backed Yes | 16c | 242.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 68c | 185.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 22c | 178.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 60c | 162.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…c418backed No | 65c | 160.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 15c | 158.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 31c | 136.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Yes | 43c | 131.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 128.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 15c | 127.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 29c | 119.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…d24abacked Yes | 16c | 109.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 76c | 108.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 15c | 101.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 47c | 101.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 44c | 98.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 42c | 95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 60c | 92.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 67c | 88.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…f078backed Yes | 17c | 83.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 76c | 70.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 39c | 58.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 39c | 49.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 38c | 46.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 49c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 42c | 31.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 74c | 28.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 40c | 24.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 72c | 24.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 45c | 23.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed No | 55c | 23.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…95e0backed No | 68c | 14.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.