TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,620
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,620 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes57c75,978$43,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,188.3318352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No26c21,236$5,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,697.4714443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No44c15,818$6,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,934.3442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c9,373$4,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,348.863,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No37c8,891$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,597.71,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c7,774$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,107.675,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c5,720$3,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.188,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c5,519$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.262,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f9…fffdbacked No44c4,990$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No61c3,663$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.4447756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes49c3,586$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.4410657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No46c2,753$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.2750746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes60c2,503$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.581553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No58c2,014$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.663,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No43c1,750$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.516558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No70c1,720$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.3821132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85524053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No43c1,469$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.041,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes41c1,425$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.8584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes69c991.57$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.3557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No43c965.8$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.5123057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes61c963$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.462,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes59c894.97$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.791,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes5c851.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4939127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked No42c827.31$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes60c705.81$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.431,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed No76c689.92$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5818543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c647.12$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.452,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes74c641.74$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.631,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c633$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.71,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No41c619$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.219953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No39c589.51$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.69854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No43c575.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.361,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f2…defdbacked Yes71c566.15$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.382532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No46c531.5$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0120665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28518358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28528851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28523056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No43c469.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0328651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No43c450$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.524956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes30c448.5$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No43c446.36$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2147758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No55c401.49$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.471,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No37c399.12$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.623254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No26c329.54$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.448268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No44c300.22$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.121,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No41c299.19$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8323551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No66c289.32$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.568155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No56c287.41$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0715945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No43c274.43$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.532,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No37c260.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8331745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed No43c260$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.22564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.521657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.520360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No43c218.8$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7210467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No43c208.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.521,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes38c207.48$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.874822.9%11 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes12c192.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.054332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No55c183.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes57c179.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5855155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Yes42c174.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.631533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No20c174.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.329710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Yes74c174.3$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.017460.8%45 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…317ebacked Yes58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.482479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes59c153.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No48c150.03$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0626160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.522058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.515560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d6b…670cbacked Yes59c149.64$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed Yes41c139.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No44c135.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0844959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x328e…2a49backed No67c132.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb611…188fbacked No44c130.45$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.32259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700b…45ebbacked No43c122.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No44c110.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.397867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No44c108.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.317261%105 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes30c108.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.576842.6%29 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No43c103.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1733266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked No39c103$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8324253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.57950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5724257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5718959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes62c97.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes44c97.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4710146.5%47 W · 54 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes18c90.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3315326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No39c84.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5367548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No50c79.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.595042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No43c77.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked No43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.753253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7513557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes59c74.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7411863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No43c74.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2222853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No43c69.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.898045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.