South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86eca471d7efc5b3ffebaadab2f1114392627a38058797ce6606f319cef55457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 5,783$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 5,763$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.03 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 67c | 5,110$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.35 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 15c | 4,180$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 68c | 3,950$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.13 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 2,429$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.51 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 32c | 784.06$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.16 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 41c | 767.05$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.48 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 585.66$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Yes | 35c | 572.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 485.37$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.72 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 479.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 43c | 421.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 65c | 340$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 28c | 274.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 67c | 270$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 32c | 251.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 6c | 242.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 9c | 238.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 235.03$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 13c | 183.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 23c | 174.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 32c | 170.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 77c | 165.28$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 20c | 157.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…1227backed Yes | 32c | 138.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…0209backed Yes | 80c | 109.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 102.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 67c | 100.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 63c | 95.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…c25cbacked Yes | 78c | 87.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 35c | 86.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 63c | 79.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…31edbacked No | 69c | 74.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…0dcbbacked No | 69c | 68.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 62.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 49.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 39c | 47.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 69c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 29c | 40.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 35c | 38.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…e173backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…e75bbacked Yes | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 65c | 22.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…c817backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Yes | 57c | 22.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Yes | 68c | 19.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325b…e98ebacked Yes | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 69c | 14.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-28?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.