Asian League · resolved market
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68188890a40870eb3e2f80f75f1d28e6dfacb004bfba623e7995057f3ba63b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 50c | 16,412$8,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,280.84 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,684$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.2 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.37 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,698$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.73 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.97 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Under | 51c | 803.92$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 677$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.5 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 51c | 499.94$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 497.7$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 50c | 336$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Under | 40c | 332.45$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 34c | 219.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 50c | 128.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 53c | 95.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 49c | 77.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 54c | 69.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 66.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 37c | 59.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 55.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 19c | 54.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Over | 49c | 43.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 58c | 42.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 51c | 37.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 56c | 35.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 54c | 34.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…9d16backed Under | 54c | 31.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 50c | 30.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 54c | 28.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 69c | 27.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 50c | 25.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 51c | 21.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe452…4de3backed Under | 55c | 20.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 56c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 74c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5this page
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)Gamba Ōsaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.