TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over45c20,307$9,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,175.857656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c11,530$6,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,434.064,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under53c11,249$5,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,980.243366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over50c10,943$5,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,471.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over49c10,018$4,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,130.983956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c6,416$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.993,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under55c4,472$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.513645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under51c3,844$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.914141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa362…e26abacked Under54c3,458$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over46c3,346$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.0615459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under52c3,000$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5707936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over50c2,910$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4556550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c2,903$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.5112132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c2,896$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.952,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,392$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.791,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over34c2,265$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.746563.1%41 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under52c2,203$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.4492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under52c2,120$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.45253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under50c2,080$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9222753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Under53c2,060$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.535149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f8…f76ebacked Under53c1,972$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over48c1,855$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.85887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick46cpaid+91.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under52c1,551$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.6322448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under54c1,527$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67523255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under49c1,302$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.95339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Under53c1,279$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c1,140$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.9399933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over43c1,115$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.79443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over46c1,052$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.944235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5c1…de09backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c980.29$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.5283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over60c976$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.411444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Under51c953.47$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.2712236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c929.22$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.0720159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under53c870.81$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.533351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under6c861.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3916348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over45c811.8$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.493253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf541…ac67backed Over63c776.68$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.79875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over44c766.54$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.261471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under55c710.12$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.5724344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c691.37$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9468450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under55c629.72$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4940357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under55c629.72$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4923456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Under53c626.49$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.041330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c603.66$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4383939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over48c509.59$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9911741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c508.26$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.511120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over46c483.8$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.2510046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c473$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.528045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under53c460$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.822246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2fd…a6c6backed Under53c458.47$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under51c406.85$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.494548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over38c403.93$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.447440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7911037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under37c390.08$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.336950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over47c386.32$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.755650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed Under53c358.01$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.751546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.63743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under56c347.91$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.723957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Over42c342.47$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.114452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under55c339.68$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.832433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed Under38c329.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.161241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over53c304.61$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1761657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under32c303.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c300$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15175451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x688c…2482backed Under55c265.36$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.95560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over49c261.69$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.511,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.221346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under51c250.02$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.145450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under15c221.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2210927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under53c220.03$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6213426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fb7…02d8backed Over46c210.01$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c205.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.748251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under51c203.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.953834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9522939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under44c197.23$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978432.1%27 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3b…7928backed Over50c192.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e3e…88a4backed Under53c192.21$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under50c190.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.027856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under6c177.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.662020%4 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+216.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.615955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under56c172.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3833161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under56c172.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3820050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under51c165.57$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over47c162.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.228961.8%55 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0712875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under53c157.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.441751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under30c145.22$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.376446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over57c144.13$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.476456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.