La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x292a18bea93f6e5be1c5cc6f658cd1d9ead0de9c58c35a8939273fec204f25b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RCD Mallorcaof Deportivo Alavés, RCD Mallorca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Deportivo Alavés | 5c | 519.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Deportivo Alavés | 17c | 422.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 22c | 141.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…84e9backed RCD Mallorca | 78c | 105.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…fe55backed Deportivo Alavés | 24c | 102.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 33cpaid | +177.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Deportivo Alavés | 20c | 96.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked RCD Mallorca | 80c | 95.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked RCD Mallorca | 78c | 59.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed RCD Mallorca | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RCD Mallorca | 77c | 37.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…5feebacked RCD Mallorca | 79c | 13.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.