La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4df062969beb61c919b84f058c38b6d0723769860af5f1485ec8056257244aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 6,577$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.47 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 74c | 1,862$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 1,499$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.74 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 72c | 1,201$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.86 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 29c | 1,160$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.65 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 72c | 888.43$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.76 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 19c | 643.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1ababacked Over | 75c | 555.8$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 550.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 74c | 505.5$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 26c | 479.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 72c | 305.13$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 297.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Over | 72c | 280.21$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +861.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 221.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 79c | 211.95$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 26c | 194.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 459 | 49.7%228 W · 231 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 79c | 181.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 23c | 159.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 134.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 79c | 130.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 73c | 73.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 25c | 65.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 72c | 62.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +18.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 27c | 53.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 75c | 47.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 72c | 44.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 74c | 37.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 75c | 36.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 73c | 36.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 73c | 33.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Over | 73c | 24.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 74c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 74c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Over | 73c | 16.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 75c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 76c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.