La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bdcb9ae23b64ae1920da6716ded14dfe5501870d4532a2d70519f491b756117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 7,380$5,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.4 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 55c | 5,380$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.45 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 2,928$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.26 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 31c | 2,180$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 12c | 1,137$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 26c | 1,076$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 8c | 1,031$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 956.2$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.17 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 26c | 873.71$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.89 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 12c | 658.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 38c | 576.54$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.02 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 18c | 528.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Over | 26c | 506.21$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Over | 16c | 453.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 428$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 55c | 354.09$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 17c | 308.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 61c | 283.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 12c | 252.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed Over | 41c | 235.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 66c | 215.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 19c | 214.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 75c | 203.57$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…84e9backed Under | 73c | 196.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 23c | 192.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 55c | 183.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…43d6backed Over | 21c | 175.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 22c | 160.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 66c | 149.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under | 50c | 142.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 17c | 139.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Under | 78c | 97.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 94.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 25c | 84.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 72c | 82.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 24c | 62.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 80c | 60.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 37c | 57.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…29b4backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +245.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 72c | 43.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 76c | 41.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 63c | 41.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 61c | 39.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 31c | 35.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 78c | 31.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 75c | 26.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…0f0ebacked Under | 73c | 23.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 72c | 19.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 74c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 76c | 14.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 113 | 66.4%75 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.