TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,926
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,926 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c13,794$7,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,330.124349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c4,401$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.151,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over43c4,272$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.241952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under49c4,056$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c4,000$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.6152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6254143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under53c1,977$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c1,583$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.161,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over47c1,294$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.8816644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.513834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c986.32$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.9587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over47c629.75$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.773672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under57c575.97$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.310942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Over51c508.97$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.971735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+88.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under55c450$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.58444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c399.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over49c387.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.762454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over43c368.89$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2718847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under54c364.61$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5533145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1592626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over33c291.21$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.219920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c255.4$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5859348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c227.48$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5726354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Over55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c191.84$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6326041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under53c130.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.73655.6%20 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under52c121.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.438143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.38250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5222340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over46c92.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.59058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over47c92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7646450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under53c85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.059657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c83.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2927748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under56c81.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.438056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Under39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c76.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.823342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under45c71.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-75.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.925151%26 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Over52c63.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed Under63c61.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under57c57.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x929a…4dc9backed Under40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.084719.1%9 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over47c50.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9314352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf255…3561backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over46c46.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.152040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under54c43.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.665955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822850%14 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.24955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over48c38.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.781952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over41c37.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2422854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c37.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1518351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over47c36.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.317861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.36642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.253852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over43c28.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.236759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over48c26.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.674951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b3…e861backed Under58c25.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over42c24.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.519050%45 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under56c20.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5135157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under54c19.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.722240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under56c17.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.