Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9d5c373f4b5503b90510e1a1157a7b4ce694fbf57cd9ba6c04058145d06d319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 614.46$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.04 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 44c | 409.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 396.54$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.1 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 66c | 375$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 359.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 67c | 299.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 27c | 299.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.89 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 209.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 204.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 52c | 198.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 52c | 183.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 74c | 120.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 78c | 88.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 72.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 75c | 69.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 78c | 69.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 74c | 65.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 25c | 56.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 39c | 45.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 78c | 44.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 25c | 44.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 32c | 31.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 32c | 31.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…f75abacked Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 58c | 20.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 72c | 17.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45c…a065backed Under | 65c | 16.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5this page
- AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.