Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4d07490e9fe85b104dd55417c403fc231a157e85a9374229e20c126f3a54bfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 1c | 1,074$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 746.27$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.95 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 51c | 491.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 195.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 27c | 187.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Yes | 34c | 111.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 51c | 109.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 50c | 102.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 74.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 73.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 64.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 58.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 66c | 33.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 60c | 22.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.