La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-04-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x277659c0b93c660a6dd0745454667bf7fa5bd2e3ff23d05f92a397167de9e614
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb08f…4ea1backed No | 76c | 1,127$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 688.16$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 619.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 555.02$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Yes | 25c | 539.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 25c | 477.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 63c | 402.6$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 75c | 328.33$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 322.63$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…d124backed Yes | 18c | 263.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 6c | 226.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 163$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 76c | 156.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16d…e427backed Yes | 24c | 128.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Yes | 20c | 103.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 34c | 103.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 101.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 98.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 83.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 72.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…07f9backed No | 76c | 68.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 73c | 67.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 24c | 66.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Yes | 25c | 52.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 23c | 43.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 25c | 42.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 27c | 41.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…2c46backed No | 76c | 41.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked No | 77c | 37.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 37c | 35.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 35c | 30.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 76c | 29.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 50c | 28.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…56cdbacked Yes | 52c | 26.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da1…4f6abacked No | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 77c | 22.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d41…4a98backed No | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 20.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…bf73backed No | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 76c | 18.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 71c | 17.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-04-27?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.