La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc25fc0845f62506afa53e2cc461e56d60aa0dda511e28073ef7521e5b671e270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 31c | 1,709$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.09 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 69c | 1,582$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.51 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 1,019$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 703.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.2 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 31c | 586.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.75 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 432.76$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 42c | 340.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 39c | 321.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 319.32$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 273$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 259.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…c8f2backed Yes | 30c | 245.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 211.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…f105backed Yes | 48c | 199.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 174.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 11c | 156$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 31c | 149.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed Yes | 31c | 145.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 112.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 17c | 109.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 109.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 105.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 100.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 73c | 99.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed No | 63c | 85.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 42c | 80.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7c…1549backed No | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 64.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb16d…e427backed Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 50.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Yes | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 50.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 41.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked No | 61c | 40.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…da4dbacked Yes | 27c | 40.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28d…b07bbacked Yes | 36c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 34c | 36.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 37c | 31.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 64c | 27.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 24.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…469fbacked No | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…9ad1backed No | 64c | 21.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 68c | 18.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 18.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 72c | 16.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?this page
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-04-27?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.